Publications

Europe's defence build-up demands sustained investment. This interactive analysis explores how EU funding, public financial institutions and private capital can complement national budgets to strengthen European defence capabilities.

Lula's surprise re-election opens new prospects for EU-Brazil relations amid geopolitical shifts. Europe should seize this opportunity to advance trade, security and industrial cooperation, while helping Brazil navigate domestic challenges and complex international partnerships.

Democratic change in Serbia may not bring immediate geopolitical realignment, but could open the door to more constructive relations with the EU. The EU and Member States should seize this chance and build a durable partnership, without expecting an immediate foreign policy shift...

Georgia’s democratic regression highlights the risks facing Serbia, where similar warning signs are emerging. As authoritarianism becomes entrenched, EU leverage diminishes, underscoring the need for earlier, more decisive action to counter democratic backsliding.

Europe faces a challenging energy outlook as winter approaches, with tight markets and Russian hybrid attacks exposing its vulnerabilities. The EU must combine targeted energy relief with swifter electrification and stronger protection of critical infrastructure.

As the global AI race accelerates, abundant, affordable and reliable energy is becoming a key source of technological power. Aligning AI infrastructure with energy availability could strengthen Europe's resilience, reduce dependencies and advance its technological ambitions.

Deeper EU-Ukraine defence industrial integration can strengthen Ukraine's ability to resist Russia while bolstering Europe's defences. Combining Kyiv's innovation and expertise with European capital, tech and demand can build a stronger shared defence industrial base.

The momentum is there for Europe and Canada to take their partnership to a new level. A political agreement shaping the vision for 'associate membership' status, together with stronger sectoral cooperation, could enable them to do just that.

The transatlantic relationship has come under strain in 2026 but has not collapsed. Hopes that the US midterms will ease tensions may be misplaced. To navigate the next two years, Europe needs a versatile playbook that combines cooperation with resilience to coercion.

Russia's shadow fleet is changing in response to mounting European pressure. The EU must respond by widening its legal options, expanding efforts to target those involved in illicit activities, and more actively pursuing the seizure of vessels and cargoes.