Europe is facing years of maximum danger. In an era of reduced US engagement, strengthening deterrence against Russia requires strengthening three interlocking foundations: resources, readiness and resolve.
The NATO summit in Ankara in early July threatens to revolve around one question once again: how do we keep Donald Trump on board? Europe would be much better off focusing on its own plan for military deterrence.
China’s critical raw material export squeeze has proven a powerful geo-economic weapon. Initially retaliation against US tariffs and tech restrictions, Beijing’s leverage now advances its far greater ambitions.
As Russia tightens its grip on Belarus, the country is becoming a growing source of military pressure and intimidation against Europe. The EU must respond with a balanced strategy of pressure, conditional incentives and support for democratic forces.